ISSN: 1885-5857 Impact factor 2024 4.9
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Clinical value of ECG-derived markers for risk stratification in sudden cardiac arrest due to Chagas cardiomyopathy

Valor clínico de marcadores derivados del ECG para la estratificación de riesgo de parada súbita cardiaca en la miocardiopatía chagásica

Ángela HernándezaJoão Paulo MadeirobRoberto C. PedrosacPablo LagunaadJulia Ramírezade
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rec.2026.05.005
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Keywords

Chagas
sudden
electrocardiography
biomarkers

Abbreviations

CC
CRM
ECG
HR
RS
SCA
Abstract

Introduction and objectives: Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is a significant complication in the spectrum of Chagas cardiomyopathy (CC) among infected individuals. Although the Rassi score (RS) is the most established tool for predicting mortality, a nonnegligible proportion of low- or intermediate-risk CC patients still experience SCA. This study aimed to evaluate whether electrocardiogram (ECG)-derived ventricular repolarization indices, when combined with the RS, improve SCA risk stratification in low- or intermediate-risk CC patients.

Methods: We analyzed 24-hour ECGs from 144 chronic CC patients to derive QT (ΔαQT), T-peak-to-end (ΔαTpe), T-wave morphology (TMR), and T-peak-to-end morphology (TpeMR) restitution indices.Cox regression models, adjusted for RS, assessed the independent predictive value of each index for SCA. A combined risk model was developed by combining the strongest predictors with RS.

Results: ΔαTpe showed the strongest association with SCA (P < .001) and remained an independent predictor alongside RS and hypertension (HR, 13.6; P = .020). The combined risk model improved sensitivity, balanced accuracy, and negative predictive value for identifying high-risk patients compared with RS alone, although it showed a reduction in specificity and positive predictive value. Moreover, the combined risk model maintained overall discrimination (HR, 23.1 vs RS alone HR, 17.8; both P < .001), providing complementary prognostic information.

Conclusions: ΔαTpe was independently associated with SCA risk in CC. Its combination with the RS improved the identification of high-risk patients but was less effective at detecting low-risk individuals, suggesting a complementary rather than superior role to the RS.

Keywords

Chagas
sudden
electrocardiography
biomarkers

Abbreviations

CC
CRM
ECG
HR
RS
SCA
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